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20121027
20121104
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Search Results 0 to 49 of about 124 (some duplicates have been removed)
clear politics" average of the most recent polling in the state of ohio shows president obama ahead in ohio by 2.3 points. these "real clear politics" averages are an imperfect measure. i want to give you a very rough idea of how basically how close it is right now. that's what it is in ohio. in virginia, that same polling average has mitt romney ahead by 0.5 points, and in north carolina, the polling average has mr. romney ahead by 3.8 points. so that's the 7:00 hour. and then in the 8:00 hour, polls will be closing in these 18 states. of these states, again, there will be three that we're going to be watching most closely. florida, pennsylvania, and new hampshire. the "real clear politics" polling average right now in florida has romney ahead. in pennsylvania the polling average says it is president obama who's ahead by 4.6 points. in new hampshire, again, president obama ahead with a 1.3 lead. that's the 8:00 hour. at 9:00, we'll have polls closed in all those places, and the blinking states here will be the ones that are closing. 14 states mostly in the midwest and the south. of
showed in iowa, president obama has a lead. in wisconsin, it's a smaller lead. some other public polls suggest that as well. however, the romney campaign has made it adamantly clear that according to their polls in iowa, the race is dead even. so it really kind of matters where you actually see the race right now. but it's largely going to come down, as chuck pointed out, to the midwest and that's why you'll see president obama campaigning in ohio, wisconsin, iowa a lot these last five days. >> amy, let me bring you in. i know to mark's point, i believe it was one of the romney advisers or a supporter who said i think the word was "crap" when it comes to polls, at least the ones they didn't like to see. nevertheless, you can disagree with the percentage point here or there, but we've not seen a poll where governor romney is leading in a battleground state. >> no, we haven't. but he feels really good about florida. his team does. i don't think it's a double-digit lead, but they're feeling good about florida. they're feeling good about wisconsin. they think the apparatus in place from th
individual numbers. in wisconsin our new nbc news/"wall street journal"/maris poll shows obama with a three-point lead. in new hampshire our poll has the president two points ahead. in iowa our poll has president obama up by six, 50%, 44%. in colorado a new cnn/opinion research poll shows the president leading by two. finally to michigan where a new epic poll shows the president ahead by six, 48%, 42%. we'll be right back. >>> for the past few days all of us have been focused on one of the worst storms in our lifetimes, and we're awed and humbled by nature's destructive power. i was out in new jersey yesterday and saw the devastation, and you really get a sense of, you know, how difficult this is going to be for a lot, a lot of people. >> welcome back to "hardball." that was president obama earlier today. voters are overwhelmingly supportive of his handling of the storm. a "washington post"/abc poll shows 78% give him a positive rating for his efforts these past few days. during his re-election pause, if you call it that, mr. obama reminded americans he has presidential duties and also foun
, it could break and if it breaks, kerry wins. obama was polling the same way the whole time. in 2000 there was this assumption that it was going to break for bush and it never did. >> for those of us who work long hours, sometimes it's hard to remember, it's exciting. it's an exciting time, right? it could go either way. i think what you're seeing is part of the reason that it's not. we always talk about a break and then don't end up seeing onenessly. it's all about turnout now. it's all about getting voters to the polls. so who has momentum and who doesn't, it's a momentum game. >> number two, the break for gore and it was barely -- and the real break happened in democratic senate races. >> it's interesting, going back to 1984, very quickly, the difference in that break and obviously we were still in diapers back then -- >> i was out of diapers. maybe i shouldn't have been. >> veg began appeared to have the confidence and appeared to be the incumbent. >> i've had romney people admit to me they have to have some momentum. they believe it's a point in turnout. that's why they are real
crossover democrats, rural democrats. he pulls about 16% of them on our poll, where as obama only pulls about 5% republican support. so that crossover appeal so to speak of romney's in florida and the independent edge that he appears to have is making a difference. but good campaigns can change polls. they're not changed by polls. and the question is who turns out their voters and who does it best. we're going to find out today. today is the last day of early voting. and then on tuesday that's when the ball game is. >> mark murray, let me bring you in. both men have these op-eds in "the wall street journal." we have the headlines. real progress, but we're not done. that's from the president. and governor romney, a new direction for america. what are your thoughts on just the headlines alone, not even the content of the op-ed itself. but those two different headlines. >> well, right. they're actually two different realities. actually, when you look in all the polls, it doesn't matter what it is. democrats seem to be a whole lot more optimistic about the country's direction, or people who
polls, how many does president obama lead in? 24 of the 24. every single one. and look at the rest of mr. romney's campaign schedule. he's taking the one trip to pennsylvania that republicans always take. but other than that, he was in ohio and wisconsin today. he was scheduled to be in new hampshire, iowa and colorado in the final days. and he just spent the last couple days in florida and virginia. that means the map is not expanding. not if you can't afford to walk away from any of your battleground states to move on to more exotic locales. he is still flogging it out in the places where he has to win. where he is not sure he is going to win. all of this we're going to win stuff, it is a fake. it is a fakeout. it is a bluff. it is trash talk. and there's nothing wrong with it. it happens every year. you should just know that it is a dependable part of the end of presidential campaigns. but every once in awhile at the end of a presidential campaign, this expected feint, this attempt at a fakeout that everybody knows is coming, every once in awhile it is revealed as a fakeout. every onc
there. the virginia "washington post" poll has obama hanging onto the four-point lead and philadelphia enquirer, 49/42. two different polls here. minnesota is truly a 50/50 race right now. is that going to impact everything like doug is saying? they can't get accurate figures to know where they're up or down? >> it may. even though one of the super-pacs supporting romney is now advertising in pennsylvania trying to expand the map a little bit, we're not going to likely see mitt romney go to places like minnesota or pennsylvania. they're really going to double-down on about seven swing states, and he's right that we won't be able to see what's going to happen over the next week because the polling is going to be fairly messed up. so we're just going to have to wait and see, thomas. i think the obama campaign feels that they are ahead in the states that motor like ohio and wisconsin and nevada. so as far as it's concerned right now, mitt romney has to go to those states and hang out there until election day. >> iowa came out over the weekend, "the des moines register" it to endorse mitt
at an emotional level that this is a guy that cares about us. that helps explain why even when president obama's poll numbers after that denver debate, they were looking a little shaky. they held up pretty well in ohio. you look at it and think, that has got to be the auto rescue. >> the latest nbc marist poll is showing that the president is holding a fairly sizeable lead in ohio, about six points at this point. most folks are indicating that's because he has a better margin with white male voters in ohio than he does anywhere else in the country at this time. that's probably related to the cars. i want to bring in ari melber for a moment. we were chatting about this before. this is one time when maybe progress sives are down with a corporation spending money on political ads. >> we have had a lot of talk about speech and corporate personhood and these interesting doctrinal questions. if you want to say corporations shouldn't have the free speech and spending rights that others have, you wouldn't have them able to come out and robustly engage in the political process. they are free under curr
. and mitt romney led in zero of those polls. there were two ties and obama led in 17. that's not what we were seeing two weeks ago where romney pulled ahead in virginia and colorado and florida and had drown ohio down to a one-point lead. if anything, obama has momentum. he was declared the winner of the final two debates. i'm not sure how the hurricane is playing for him, but his numbers ticked up. that's why the states that seem toss uppy seem like they are more firmly in the president's favor. >> let me ask you, and i didn't warn you i was going to ask you this, but you have been the subject of a lot of criticism in this last week in particular as if the polling model that you built at "the new york times" and the way you explain the polling is somehow biassed or wrong or evil. i feel like you are waging a one-man war against e pneumonia rossty in explaining how polling works. how has the week been? >> it's been a trip where you become a subject of conversation yourself and there's this celebrity level attached to it that's new for me e. but there are other websites that do the same t
actually makes sense. checking the facts is easy to do. look at the polls in pennsylvania. there have been two dozen polls in pennsylvania since august first. of those two dozen polls, of those 24 polls, how many does president obama lead in? 24 of the 24. every single one. and look at the rest of mr. romney's campaign schedule. he's taking the one trip to pennsylvania that republicans always take. but other than that, he was in ohio and wisconsin today. he was scheduled to be in new hampshire, iowa and colorado in the final days. and he just spent the last couple days in florida and virginia. that means the map is not expanding. no the if you can't afford to walk away from any battle ground states. he's still flogging it out where he has to win. all of this we're going to win stuff is a fake out, it's a bluff, it's trash talk. and there's nothing wrong with it. it happens every year. you should know it's a dependable part of the end of presidential campaigns. but every once in awhile at the end of a presidential campaign, this expected faint, this attempt at a fake out that everybody know
until election day. the real clear politics shows president obama with 47.4% in national polls, mitt romney has 47.3% the new york times 538 blog says that if the election were held today, the president would win 303 electoral votes and romney would win 235. 270 are needed to win the white house. the times blog gives the president an 81% chance of winning the election. romney has a 19% chance. and as of tonight, 25 million people have already voted but long lines are creating a serious situation in some parts of florida. yes, florida all over again. some people are waiting three hours or more to vote and we will be asking why governor rick scott in florida is refusing to extend hours as his predecessors have done. but we start with tonight's lead. the closer. just four days to go and president obama is sprinting to the finish line with a passionate pitch to ohio voters and he's doing so by dismantling governor romney's rationale in this race one line of the obama argument, i am the guy you know. >> after four years as president, you know me. you may not agree with every decision i've
for him to win the presidency. and right now polls show that president obama is holding onto a modest lead here in the buckeye state. president obama made three stops here on friday. and really what was a campaign all-out blitz, two of those stops, by the way, alex, were in counties that he lost back in 2008. he's hoping to kick off some of those working-class voters. he's doing it by the auto bailout. that is something that is widely popular here that, of course, mitt romney opposed. widely popular because one out of every eight ohioans has a connection to the auto industry. president obama also touting what he called an economy that is in recovery. he referenced friday's jobs report to do it. take a listen. >> in 2008 we were in the middle of two wars, and the worst economic crisis since the great depression. today our businesses have created nearly 5.5 million new jobs and this morning we learned the company's hired more workers in october than at any time in the last eight months. >> president obama has a frenetic campaign today straight through election day today, alex. he will make s
to new polls showing president obama leading in swing states. up by six in iowa, up by five in ohio, and ahead in other key states, including new hampshire, be virginia, florida, wisconsin, colorado, and nevada. and today, a major endorsement coming from new york city's independent mayor michael bloomberg. no question, this is a close race but today in wisconsin the president went after one of the key points in governor romney's closing argument to voters. >> the closing weeks of this campaign, governor romney has been using all his talents as a salesman to dress up these very same policies that failed our country so badly. and he is offering them change. he's saying he's the candidate of change. well, let me tell you, wisconsin, we know what change looks like. and what the governor is offering sure ain't change. >> it sure ain't change. but governor romney is good at changing on every position and doing anything to win. on the trail, he's trying to sound warm and cuddly. he's now taking a soft attack. the new york times quoting him on the trail as saying, democrats love america, to
even though the polls shows obama slightly ahead by no means a safe margin. he does not have a strong lead anywhere. i think the romney campaign is really worried about ohio and that's why they suddenly turned up their visits in advertising in pennsylvania, michigan, minnesota, states they don't have much of a chance to carry but they need ohio insurance because so far even if the lead is very small ohio is looking pretty good for the president. >> you know, i'm glad bill brought that up because i was going to get to that in just a few minutes. ohio, governor romney hasn't led in a major poll in that state. right now you take an average of all the polls that look at the buckeye state, the president enjoys a lead there, some of those leads more substantial than others. is it at this point the buckeye state is it a wash for the governor? >> well, you know, i think he certainly had some trouble there gaining ground. he tried a new tactic over these last couple of days talking about the auto bailout, not a good look for him because of that op-ed that he wrote in 2008 titled let detroit go
. but the latest poll in pennsylvania shows obama 49 and romney 43. >> it's really about a five-point race and you can't make up five points in a week, especially because there's so much clutter on tv with all of the other candidates, it's hard to break through. if romney had gone on the air in pennsylvania the day after the first debate and stayed on the air at 5, $6 million a week for the four weeks, he might have had a chan of sneaking in. but he hasn't been in the state very much. ryan was in the state once. this buy for one week is truly a hail mary pass. what they figured out is that ohio is gone and they can't make the electoral map and that's why they are in michigan and pennsylvania and in minnesota. they've got to pull out one or two of those states to have a chance and i don't think they are going to pull out any of them. >> and you're correct, the race is 49/43. i was talking to one of the demographics. it's 49/43, a five-point gap. let me ask you this, maria, before we run out of time. the base of democratic party, women, minorities, are they energized, in your opinion, and will they
. "washington post" poll, president obama leads about 51% to governor romney's 47%. back in september, the president had a stronger lead, 52% to 44% in virginia. why do you think the governor has been able to close the gap in the commonwealth? >> i think just like you see nationally and a lot of other swing states, after a first debate performance in early october for governor romney. he managed to show people kind of a different face than they had seen in a lot of negative advertisements or depicted by president obama and a lot of his allies. you've seen him gain nationally in a lot of swing states just like in virginia. the question is, have enough momentum now to put him over the top and that's kind of the question that everyone is asking themselves nine days out from the election now. >> in virginia, like other states, it can be separated in several states within a state. you've got southwest virginia, you've got hampton roads area and norfolk and the richmond area. you've got the d.c. suburbs, arlington and fairfax and alexandria. let's talk about the democratic shift there, nort
that bill clinton carried in '96 and that president obama carried. >> if that poll is accurate, romney will win florida for sure, if he's going to carry i-4 by that big a margin. most indications are that he's going to win the state. however, you have to point out, the obama campaign says they're competing in all the battleground states, and they are. the president's one event today is in florida with bill clinton, 10:00 this morning. >> going to be right in the middle of the i-4 corridor. >> right in the middle. they're competing there. they're not giving up. they're using their most precious asset today, one obama visit with bill clinton to go to florida. so they're not giving up, but there's no question romney has an edge there right now. >> you usually have, mika, north florida against south florida and central florida being what makes a difference. the south florida poll out of miami-dade shows the president -- >> largest county in the state, 52%-43%. >> that's not a surprise. i will tell you, this next poll, though, is a surprise. >> all right. let's go to virginia. the latest "w
secretary, finally what about this closing few days of this election. president obama had his poll numbers go down after the first debate. do you -- do you have any explanation for what happened in that first debate where the president by all accounts by his own account did not really show up and seem prepared and let mitt romney back into this race where it is now virtually tied in just about all of the national polls? >> i think the president has now demonstrated where he is and it's very clear to the public the differences between both of the campaigns. but the president is very focuseded on job creation and he's very focused on making sure opportunity is given to everyone, there's fair balance here and we don't go back to the old policies that took us into the ditch. we're coming out of the ditch now. we see job creation, more optimism and more favorable consumer attitude. so we've got the right medicine. we've got to keep going. i'm hopeful after tuesday we'll be able to get everyone all hands on deck and consider all the things that are important for us, like the hurricane victims, a
day. new poll numbers show president obama with an early voting advantage in the battle ground state of ohio. but will it hold? joining me now washington bureau chief for "usa today" susan page and white house editor for politico rachel smolken. good to have you here. susan i'll begin with you. before i get to the ohio poll can i just ask you for your big picture perspective? given your coverage of politics over the years -- >> i'm sorry. i've lost audio so maybe you should go to race well a question. >> oh, thank you for that. we'll get that fixed up as soon as we can. rachel i'm going to ask you broadly speaking, are there any signals being given by either camp that suggests concern on either front as this race appears to be tightening? >> both campaigns are in full spin mode projecting absolute confidence moving ahead. we're really seeing the momentum wars at work here. the narrative from the romney campaign that they've got the wind behind them at their backs. they're going to push forward. the president obama peaked too early and they're picking up steam heading into the finish
from your poll if i could put it up. president obama's 16-point lead with women on the economy. now a four-point disadvantage. how worried should democrats be? >> very worried. if this is actually going to bear out, it's a disaster for the democratic ticket. president obama underperforms with men, particularly white men at such a large degree that he needs to overperform with women. the obama campaign is really questioning these polling figures saying that the president is still well ahead with women. it's unclear. we are seeing that trend in basically all the polling across the board. that he's lost a lot of ground with women since the first debate. the president has to make up that deficit with women if he's going to win. there is no other way. his deficit with men is so large. >> lynn, for women that are still undid he sided, the handful of women who might be undecided, we heard the economic message from governor romney, heard the president's fiscal message, coupled with his stance on women's issues, as well. which is having the greater pull on those independent women voters righ
reading of the polls is the last week had already been going at least slightly in obama's direction. and at least on the first couple of days, from the reaction to what the president did, from the difficulties romney has, this appears to be helping obama some more. and as long as polling stations can open up in places like philadelphia and in northern virginia, then the storm, i think, because he responded well, will end up helping obama more than it hurts him. >> e.j. dionne, always good to have you with us on "the ed show." thanks so much. the romney camp says they'll win next tuesday. the latest poll numbers, folks, they tell just a different story. bob shrum weighs in next. >>> later, it's been three weeks, count 'em, three weeks since mitt romney the candidate actually took a question from reporters? >>> and hurricane sandy is highlighting his transparency problems. dnc chair debbie wasserman schultz is here with reaction tonight. stay with us. brp b >>> thanks for joining us tonight. now, to hear the romney campaign tell the story they're preparing for certain victory on elect
, because, it just doesn't exist with this guy. the latest ohio poll shows romney trailing president obama badly on whether the candidate cares about the needs of people like you. president obama also leads on who is better at helping the middle class. president obama also leads romney by five points in ohio, in large part because romney's 47% problems just continue to haunt him. it is halloween, isn't it? let's bring in msnbc contributor, e.j. dionne, who is also a "washington post" columnist and author of the book, "our divided political heart." you know, this storm, as devastating as it is, e.j., it seems to have created some real problems for the romney campaign. it's almost as if you see them, and they are thing, and you can see them thinking out loud, oh, no, now what do we do? staging events. i mean, how low does it get? your thoughts? >> well, first of all, i would like to send my love out to my wife's family in rockaway queens, the neighborhood right on the ocean that got hammered. it's a great area and those folks are having a tough time right now. and i think this storm presente
Search Results 0 to 49 of about 124 (some duplicates have been removed)